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French presidential election: who will advance?

Open

Apr 18, 2026

Selected outcome

François Hollande

4%

François Hollande · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Apr 17, 2028 ET
Resolution source
Conseil constitutionnel (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    35%

    Open · ~$7 24h · ~$680 vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 37¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bernard Cazeneuve

    Will Bernard Cazeneuve qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bruno Retailleau

    Will Bruno Retailleau qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Dominique de Villepin

    Will Dominique de Villepin qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Élisabeth Borne

    Will Élisabeth Borne qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Édouard Philippe

    Will Édouard Philippe qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    44%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$203 vol

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
  • François Hollande

    Will François Hollande qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$141 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gabriel Attal

    Will Gabriel Attal qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Jordan Bardella

    Will Jordan Bardella qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marine Le Pen

    Will Marine Le Pen qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    89%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$641 vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 90¢

    Open full market view →
  • Olivier Faure

    Will Olivier Faure qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    Will Raphaël Glucksmann qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Sébastien Lecornu

    Will Sébastien Lecornu qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$7
Volume
~$1,705
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,637 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Apr 17, 2028 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If François Hollande is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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