Selected outcome
Friedrich Merz
15%
Friedrich Merz · 15%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2045 ET
- Resolution source
- Fox News (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Emmanuel Macron
Will President of France be the first to leave office?
72%
Open · ~$12 24h · ~$2,479 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 72¢
- Friedrich Merz
Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?
15%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$1,214 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 18¢
- Andy Burnham
Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office?
3%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$60 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
- Donald Trump
Will President of the United States be the first to leave office?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$173 vol
last
Ask 3¢
- Giorgia Meloni
Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢
- Mark Carney
Will Prime Minister of Canada be the first to leave office?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
- Sanae Takaichi
Will Prime Minister of Japan be the first to leave office?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2045 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the individual holding the title of Chancellor of Germany at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.