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US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?

Open

In Q1 2027

Selected outcome

Above 1.0%

71%

Above 1.0% · 71%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Apr 29, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Economic Analysis (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 0.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q1 2027?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$310 vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 95¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.5%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q1 2027?

    83%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$458 vol

    Bid 79¢ · Ask 87¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q1 2027?

    71%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$391 vol

    Bid 66¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.5%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q1 2027?

    62%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$165 vol

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 63¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q1 2027?

    52%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$483 vol

    Bid 49¢ · Ask 54¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.5%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q1 2027?

    38%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$151 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q1 2027?

    30%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$95 vol

    Bid 27¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.5%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q1 2027?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,609 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q1 2027?

    11%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,789 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$13k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,826 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Apr 29, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

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