Selected outcome
Above 0.5%
86%
Above 0.5% · 86%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 28, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Bureau of Economic Analysis (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 0.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q4 2026?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$130 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 0.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2026?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$342 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 1.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2026?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$753 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 80¢
- Above 1.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q4 2026?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,003 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 67¢
- Above 2.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q4 2026?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,400 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 58¢
- Above 2.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q4 2026?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$187 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 44¢
- Above 3.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q4 2026?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 31¢
- Above 3.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2026?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 16¢
- Above 4.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q4 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$121 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 28, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.