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Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

Open

In Q4 2028

Selected outcome

Before 2029

21%

Before 2029 · 21%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jun 29, 2029 ET
Resolution source
BEA (opens in a new tab)

Price

Before 2029

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$6,723
Liquidity
—
Open int.
12k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jun 29, 2029 ET
Resolution source
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.

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