Selected outcome
Above 14%
5%
Above 14% · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 6, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- CNN (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 10%
Will Republicans receive above 10% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
35%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$912 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 39¢
- Above 9%
Will Republicans receive above 9% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 55¢
- Above 6%
Will Republicans receive above 6% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 12%
Will Republicans receive above 12% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$362 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢
- Above 14%
Will Republicans receive above 14% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$103 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 7¢
- Above 16%
Will Republicans receive above 16% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Above 18%
Will Republicans receive above 18% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Above 8%
Will Republicans receive above 8% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,040 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 76¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 6, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes.