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US government budget balance in 2026

Open

United States 2026

Selected outcome

Above -6.0% of GDP

4%

Above -6.0% of GDP · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Apr 20, 2027 ET
Resolution source
International Monetary Fund (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above -6.0% of GDP

    Will the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -6.0% of GDP?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -6.5% of GDP

    Will the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -6.5% of GDP?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -7.0% of GDP

    Will the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -7.0% of GDP?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$912 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -7.5% of GDP

    Will the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -7.5% of GDP?

    23%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,174 vol

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -8.0% of GDP

    Will the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -8.0% of GDP?

    37%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,265 vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -8.5% of GDP

    Will the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -8.5% of GDP?

    64%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,918 vol

    Bid 60¢ · Ask 68¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -9.0% of GDP

    Will the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -9.0% of GDP?

    82%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,034 vol

    Bid 78¢ · Ask 85¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$17k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
12k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Apr 20, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -6.0% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.

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