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China’s government budget balance in 2026

Open

China 2026

Selected outcome

Above -8.0% of GDP

40%

Above -8.0% of GDP · 40%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Apr 20, 2027 ET
Resolution source
International Monetary Fund (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above -6.5% of GDP

    Will China’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -6.5% of GDP?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -7.0% of GDP

    Will China’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -7.0% of GDP?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -7.5% of GDP

    Will China’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -7.5% of GDP?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$520 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -8.0% of GDP

    Will China’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -8.0% of GDP?

    40%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,704 vol

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -8.5% of GDP

    Will China’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -8.5% of GDP?

    83%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 81¢ · Ask 85¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -9.0% of GDP

    Will China’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -9.0% of GDP?

    92%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 96¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above -9.5% of GDP

    Will China’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -9.5% of GDP?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$87 vol

    Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$2,336
Liquidity
—
Open int.
3,242 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Apr 20, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If China’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -8.0% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.

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