Selected outcome
Above -4.0% of GDP
95%
Above -4.0% of GDP · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Apr 20, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- International Monetary Fund (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above -1.5% of GDP
Will Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -1.5% of GDP?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
- Above -2.0% of GDP
Will Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -2.0% of GDP?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- Above -2.5% of GDP
Will Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -2.5% of GDP?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 26¢
- Above -3.0% of GDP
Will Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -3.0% of GDP?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 73¢
- Above -3.5% of GDP
Will Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -3.5% of GDP?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$213 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 93¢
- Above -4.0% of GDP
Will Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -4.0% of GDP?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above -4.5% of GDP
Will Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -4.5% of GDP?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Apr 20, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -4.0% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.