Selected outcome
At least 50 billion
5%
At least 50 billion · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Mar 31, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- FRED (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 50 billion
Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,054 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 1 trillion
Will government spending decrease by 1000 before 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$282 vol
Bid 2.9¢ · Ask 4.3¢
- At least 2 trillion
Will government spending decrease by 2000 before 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,085 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4.6¢
- At least 250 billion
Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,347 vol
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 2.9¢
- At least 500 billion
Will government spending decrease by 500 before 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$215 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 4.5¢
- At least 750 billion
Will government spending decrease by 750 before 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$658 vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 3.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Mar 31, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.