Selected outcome
At least 2 trillion
4%
At least 2 trillion · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Mar 31, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- FRED (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 150 billion
Will government spending decrease by 150 before 2028?
5%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 1 trillion
Will government spending decrease by $1000 billion before 2028?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$363 vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 6.7¢
- At least $1 billion
Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2028?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$319 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
- At least 100 billion
Will government spending decrease by 100 before 2028?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 200 billion
Will government spending decrease by $200 billion before 2028?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 50 billion
Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2028?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$87 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 2 trillion
Will government spending decrease by $2000 billion before 2028?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$743 vol
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 5.8¢
- At least 250 billion
Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,164 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 5.8¢
- At least 500 billion
Will government spending decrease by $500 billion before 2028?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$901 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5.5¢
- At least 750 billion
Will government spending decrease by $750 billion before 2028?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$587 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 5.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Mar 31, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $2000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.