Selected outcome
At least $500 billion
24%
At least $500 billion · 24%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Apr 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- FRED (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least $1 trillion
Will government spending increase by 1000000000000 before 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$67 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.3¢
- At least $100 billion
Will government spending increase by 100000000000 before 2027?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
Bid 95.6¢ · Ask 99.9¢
- At least $1 billion
Will government spending increase by 1000000000 before 2027?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol
Bid 95.6¢ · Ask 99.9¢
- At least $200 billion
Will government spending increase by 200000000000 before 2027?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$771 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least $300 billion
Will government spending increase by 300000000000 before 2027?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,337 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least $400 billion
Will government spending increase by 400000000000 before 2027?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,375 vol
Bid 73.8¢ · Ask 82¢
- At least $500 billion
Will government spending increase by 500000000000 before 2027?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$725 vol
Bid 19.8¢ · Ask 28¢
- At least $50 billion
Will government spending increase by 50000000000 before 2027?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
Bid 94.9¢ · Ask 99.9¢
- At least $750 billion
Will government spending increase by 750000000000 before 2027?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 14.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Apr 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If government spending increases by at least $500 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.