Selected outcome
Before December
19%
Before December · 19%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- xAI (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before 2027
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?
41%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$6,501 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 44¢
- Before December
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$191 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 22¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.