Selected outcome
Hottest
73%
Hottest · 73%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (opens in a new tab)
Price
Hottest
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hottest
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
73%
Open · ~$599 24h · ~$319k vol
Bid 71.1¢ · Ask 73.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.