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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Open

In 2026

Selected outcome

Hottest

71%

Hottest · 71%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (opens in a new tab)

Price

Hottest

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$1
Volume
~$21k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,840 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

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