Selected outcome
Above 15
7%
Above 15 · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- national health agencies (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 0
Above 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026
86%
Open · ~$22 24h · ~$2,886 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 86¢
- Above 1
Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$680 vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above 10
Above 10 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 17¢
- Above 15
Above 15 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢
- Above 2
Above 2 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$596 vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 49¢
- Above 3
Above 3 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 39¢
- Above 5
Above 5 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 31¢
- Above 7
Above 7 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 23¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the total number of human H5N1 cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 15, then the market resolves to Yes.