Selected outcome
Before Oct 1, 2027
65%
Before Oct 1, 2027 · 65%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Pete Hegseth (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Feb 1, 2027
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Feb 1, 2027?
42%
Open · ~$1,279 24h · ~$7,406 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 44¢
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Apr 1, 2027?
59%
Open · ~$1,014 24h · ~$5,532 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 61¢
- Before Oct 1, 2027
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2027?
65%
Open · ~$209 24h · ~$1,674 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 67¢
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2027?
63%
Open · ~$122 24h · ~$2,729 vol
Bid 59¢ · Ask 66¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?
19%
Open · ~$99 24h · ~$31k vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢
- Before Jul 1, 2028
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2028?
84%
Open · ~$99 24h · ~$584 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 86¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029?
85%
Open · ~$62 24h · ~$1,085 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 86¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2028?
74%
Open · ~$45 24h · ~$695 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 76¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$2,867 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.