Selected outcome
80° or below
No
80° or below · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 2:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 83° to 84°
Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$9,099 24h · ~$12k vol
- 85° to 86°
Will the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$99 24h · ~$147 vol
- 81° to 82°
Will the maximum temperature be 81-82° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$99 24h · ~$161 vol
- 80° or below
Will the maximum temperature be <81° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$10 24h · ~$25 vol
- 89° or above
Will the maximum temperature be >88° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$4 24h · ~$8 vol
- 87° to 88°
Will the maximum temperature be 87-88° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$1 24h · ~$10 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 2:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 20, 2026, is less than 81° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.