Selected outcome
75° or above
No
75° or above · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 71° to 72°
Will the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$11k 24h · ~$13k vol
- 73° to 74°
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$47 24h · ~$77 vol
- 69° to 70°
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$15 24h · ~$23 vol
- 75° or above
Will the maximum temperature be >74° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$13 24h · ~$23 vol
- 67° to 68°
Will the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
- 66° or below
Will the maximum temperature be <67° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 20, 2026, is greater than 74° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.