Selected outcome
85° to 86°
No
85° to 86° · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 81° to 82°
Will the maximum temperature be 81-82° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$12k 24h · ~$13k vol
- 83° to 84°
Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$64 24h · ~$79 vol
- 85° to 86°
Will the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$7 24h · ~$11 vol
- 79° to 80°
Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$7 24h · ~$14 vol
- 87° or above
Will the maximum temperature be >86° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$1 24h · ~$4 vol
- 78° or below
Will the maximum temperature be <79° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas (CLILAS) for Oct 20, 2026, is between 85-86° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.