Selected outcome
84° or above
73%
84° or above · 73%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 84° or above
Will the maximum temperature be >83° on Oct 21, 2026?
73%
Open · ~$2,856 24h · ~$3,126 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 75¢
- 82° to 83°
Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 21, 2026?
23%
Open · ~$262 24h · ~$278 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 24¢
- 80° to 81°
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Oct 21, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$150 24h · ~$152 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
- 75° or below
Will the maximum temperature be <76° on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$89 24h · ~$92 vol
Ask 1¢
- 78° to 79°
Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$38 24h · ~$39 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
- 76° to 77°
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas (CLILAS) for Oct 21, 2026, is greater than 83° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.