Selected outcome
83° or below
last
1%
83° or below · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 3:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 90° to 91°
Will the maximum temperature be 90-91° on Oct 21, 2026?
22%
Open · ~$1,044 24h · ~$1,073 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 22¢
- 86° to 87°
Will the maximum temperature be 86-87° on Oct 21, 2026?
24%
Open · ~$999 24h · ~$1,006 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 25¢
- 88° to 89°
Will the maximum temperature be 88-89° on Oct 21, 2026?
40%
Open · ~$898 24h · ~$955 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 40¢
- 92° or above
Will the maximum temperature be >91° on Oct 21, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$299 24h · ~$306 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
- 84° to 85°
Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 21, 2026?
3%
Open · ~$282 24h · ~$285 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- 83° or below
Will the maximum temperature be <84° on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$121 24h · ~$123 vol
last
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 3:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 21, 2026, is less than 84° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.