Selected outcome
78° or above
2%
78° or above · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 74° to 75°
Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 21, 2026?
65%
Open · ~$82 24h · ~$135 vol
wide spread 42–81%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 81¢
- 76° to 77°
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 21, 2026?
30%
Open · ~$31 24h · ~$42 vol
wide spread 10–41%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 41¢
- 72° to 73°
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 21, 2026?
5%
Open · ~$21 24h · ~$21 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 7¢
- 78° or above
Will the maximum temperature be >77° on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 70° to 71°
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 69° or below
Will the maximum temperature be <70° on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
last
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the maximum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Oct 21, 2026, is greater than 77° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.