Selected outcome
Before 2028
19%
Before 2028 · 19%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 7, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before 2027
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$251 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 11¢
- Before 2028
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2028?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 23¢
- Before 2029
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2029?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 44¢
- Before 2030
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2030?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 58¢
- Before 2031
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2031?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 64¢
- Before 2032
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2032?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 73¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 7, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Hodge Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.