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US retail jobs added this holiday season

Open

September–December 2026

Selected outcome

Above 300,000 jobs

wide spread 12–95%

88%

Above 300,000 jobs · 88%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 8, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 300,000 jobs

    Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 300,000?

    88%

    Open · ~$145 24h · ~$992 vol

    wide spread 12–95%

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 95¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 350,000 jobs

    Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 350,000?

    87%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,042 vol

    wide spread 13–97%

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 400,000 jobs

    Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 400,000?

    78%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,446 vol

    wide spread 10–81%

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 81¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 450,000 jobs

    Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 450,000?

    73%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$359 vol

    wide spread 3–75%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 500,000 jobs

    Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 500,000?

    64%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,983 vol

    wide spread 3–75%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 550,000 jobs

    Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 550,000?

    50%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$722 vol

    wide spread 1–74%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 600,000 jobs

    Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 600,000?

    60%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,023 vol

    wide spread 1–75%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$145
Volume
~$9,567
Liquidity
—
Open int.
899 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 8, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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