Selected outcome
Above 600,000 jobs
wide spread 1–75%
60%
Above 600,000 jobs · 60%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 8, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- Above 300,000 jobs
Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 300,000?
88%
Open · ~$145 24h · ~$992 vol
wide spread 12–95%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 350,000 jobs
Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 350,000?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,042 vol
wide spread 13–97%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 400,000 jobs
Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 400,000?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,446 vol
wide spread 10–81%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 81¢
- Above 450,000 jobs
Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 450,000?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$359 vol
wide spread 3–75%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 75¢
- Above 500,000 jobs
Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 500,000?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,983 vol
wide spread 3–75%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 75¢
- Above 550,000 jobs
Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 550,000?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$722 vol
wide spread 1–74%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 74¢
- Above 600,000 jobs
Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 600,000?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,023 vol
wide spread 1–75%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 8, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 600,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.