Selected outcome
Above 50
12%
Above 50 · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 5, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- IMF PortWatch (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 60
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
6%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$3,051 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢
- Above 30
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
18%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$2,898 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 20¢
- Above 40
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
13%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$7,946 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 14¢
- Above 50
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
12%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1,763 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
- Above 100
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 100 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$252 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- Above 110
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 110 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 120
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 120 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- Above 70
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 70 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$693 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
- Above 80
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 80 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$992 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
- Above 90
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$800 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 5, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.