Selected outcome
October 21
20%
October 21 · 20%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- IMF PortWatch (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- October 19
Will October 19 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?
15%
Open · ~$1,066 24h · ~$1,166 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
- October 20
Will October 20 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?
7%
Open · ~$434 24h · ~$621 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
- October 21
Will October 21 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?
20%
Open · ~$185 24h · ~$185 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
- October 25
Will October 25 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?
14%
Open · ~$75 24h · ~$150 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
- October 22
Will October 22 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
- October 23
Will October 23 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
- October 24
Will October 24 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Oct 21, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.