Selected outcome
Before Jul 1, 2027
33%
Before Jul 1, 2027 · 33%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- IMF PortWatch (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
9%
Open · ~$2,310 24h · ~$315k vol
Bid 8.1¢ · Ask 10¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$2,128 24h · ~$61k vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
- Before Jul 1, 2028
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2028?
49%
Open · ~$723 24h · ~$20k vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 49¢
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?
33%
Open · ~$202 24h · ~$524k vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2029?
57%
Open · ~$184 24h · ~$28k vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 58¢
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?
20%
Open · ~$82 24h · ~$152k vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 21¢
- Before Jun 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2027?
24%
Open · ~$67 24h · ~$184 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 25¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$62 24h · ~$27k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Before Dec 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2027?
40%
Open · ~$36 24h · ~$2,487 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 40¢
- Before Nov 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2027?
42%
Open · ~$28 24h · ~$30k vol
Bid 41¢ · Ask 42¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2028?
45%
Open · ~$19 24h · ~$32k vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 45¢
- Before Feb 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before February 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$543 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 10¢
- Before Oct 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2027?
35%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$337 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 35¢
- Before May 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2027?
19%
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$310 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 20¢
- Before Mar 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before March 1, 2027?
14%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$127 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
- Before Aug 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2027?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$800 vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢
- Before Sep 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2027?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$395 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 34¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.