Selected outcome
Above 20
91%
Above 20 · 91%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- IMF PortWatch (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 20
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
91%
Open · ~$21k 24h · ~$29k vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 91¢
- Above 15
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
98%
Open · ~$3,876 24h · ~$37k vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 35
Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$1,009 24h · ~$1,344 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
- Above 27
Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
27%
Open · ~$635 24h · ~$635 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 27¢
- Above 25
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
50%
Open · ~$609 24h · ~$2,380 vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 50¢
- Above 30
Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
13%
Open · ~$138 24h · ~$1,022 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
- Above 50
Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$36 24h · ~$140 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 40
Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
3%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$293 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.