Selected outcome
Joe Neguse
4%
Joe Neguse · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Hakeem Jeffries
Will Hakeem Jeffries announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 95¢
- Joe Neguse
Will Joe Neguse announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Katherine Clark
Will Katherine Clark announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Pete Aguilar
Will Pete Aguilar announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Pramila Jayapal
Will Pramila Jayapal announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Rashida Tlaib
Will Rashida Tlaib announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Ted Lieu
Will Ted Lieu announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Joe Neguse has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.