Selected outcome
Tom Emmer
10%
Tom Emmer · 10%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- August Pfluger
Will August Pfluger announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- Jim Jordan
Will Jim Jordan announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,567 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 75¢
- Mike Johnson
Will Mike Johnson announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,145 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 56¢
- Steve Scalise
Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$722 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 43¢
- Tom Emmer
Will Tom Emmer announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Tom Emmer has announced that they will run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.