Selected outcome
R+3 to R+4.9
7%
R+3 to R+4.9 · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Mar 1, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- D+1 to D+2.9
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 19¢
- D+3 to D+4.9
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 3 to 4.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- D+5 to D+6.9
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 5 to 6.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- D+7 or more
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 7 or more points in the 2026 House popular vote?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
- R+1 to R+2.9
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 19¢
- R+3 to R+4.9
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 3 to 4.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢
- R+5 to R+6.9
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 5 to 6.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
- R+7 or more
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 7 or more points in the 2026 House popular vote?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- R+0.9 to D+0.9
Will the 2026 House popular vote margin be within 0.9 points of the final VoteHub generic ballot margin?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,544 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 29¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Mar 1, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is between -4.9 and -3 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.