Selected outcome
Category 5 or above
4%
Category 5 or above · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Category 1 or above
Will Lala become a Category 1 hurricane?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12k vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 97¢
- Category 2 or above
Will Lala become a Category 2 hurricane?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8,955 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 97¢
- Category 3 or above
Will Lala become a Category 3 hurricane?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,176 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 98¢
- Category 4 or above
Will Lala become a Category 4 hurricane?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,362 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 98¢
- Category 5 or above
Will Lala become a Category 5 hurricane?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Lala reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.