Selected outcome
Category 5 or above
4%
Category 5 or above · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Category 1 or above
Will Nolo become a Category 1 hurricane?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,534 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- Category 3 or above
Will Nolo become a Category 3 hurricane?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,819 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- Category 4 or above
Will Nolo become a Category 4 hurricane?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9,474 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- Category 5 or above
Will Nolo become a Category 5 hurricane?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,710 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Nolo reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.