Selected outcome
Category 5 or above
wide spread 1–99%
Category 5 or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Category 1 or above
Will Pena become a Category 1 hurricane?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Category 2 or above
Will Pena become a Category 2 hurricane?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Category 3 or above
Will Pena become a Category 3 hurricane?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Category 4 or above
Will Pena become a Category 4 hurricane?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–98%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 98¢
- Category 5 or above
Will Pena become a Category 5 hurricane?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Pena reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.