Selected outcome
Category 4 or above
last
1%
Category 4 or above · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Category 1 or above
Will Wilfred become a Category 1 hurricane?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Ask 5¢
- Category 2 or above
Will Wilfred become a Category 2 hurricane?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Wilfred reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.