Selected outcome
Yes
2%
Yes · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
Price
Yes
Loading price history.
Markets
- Yes
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$49 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If a Category 3 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 9, 2026 at 4:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.