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Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?

Open

Before Dec 1, 2026

Selected outcome

Yes

2%

Yes · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 30, 2026 ET
Resolution source
National Hurricane Center of the National Weather Service of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)

Price

Yes

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Markets

  • Yes

    Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$10
Liquidity
—
Open int.
500 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 30, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If a Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 9, 2026 at 4:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

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