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Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?

OpenNo trades

Before 2027

Selected outcome

Yes

wide spread 1–95%

Yes

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
National Hurricane Center of the National Weather Service of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)

Price

Yes

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Markets

  • Yes

    Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 1–95%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 95¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$0
Liquidity
—
Open int.
0 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If a Category 4 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 8, 2026 at 8:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

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