Selected outcome
Yes
5%
Yes · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Yes
Loading price history.
Markets
- Yes
Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If a Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 8, 2026 at 8:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.