Selected outcome
Above 6
last
1%
Above 6 · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1
Will there be more than 1 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
14%
Open · ~$342 24h · ~$7,075 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
- Above 2
Will there be more than 2 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
8%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$4,046 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢
- Above 3
Will there be more than 3 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$618 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
- Above 5
Will there be more than 5 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 4
Will there be more than 4 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$467 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- Above 6
Will there be more than 6 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- Above 7
Will there be more than 7 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$82 vol
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 6 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.