Selected outcome
Above 5
38%
Above 5 · 38%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Above 5
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Markets
- Above 5
Will there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$536 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 43¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.