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How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

Open

Eastern Pacific in 2026

Selected outcome

Above 8

24%

Above 8 · 24%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 1, 2026 ET
Resolution source
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 7

    Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

    73%

    Open · ~$340 24h · ~$3,914 vol

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 76¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6

    Will there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,385 vol

    last

    Bid 99¢

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  • Above 8

    Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

    24%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$368 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 27¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$340
Volume
~$6,668
Liquidity
—
Open int.
3,224 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 1, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

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