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How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

Open

Eastern Pacific in 2026

Selected outcome

Above 13

11%

Above 13 · 11%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 1, 2026 ET
Resolution source
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 9

    Will there be more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

    98%

    Open · ~$145 24h · ~$3,827 vol

    Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 13

    Will there be more than 13 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

    11%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$76 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 10

    Will there be more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

    61%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,526 vol

    Bid 60¢ · Ask 62¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 11

    Will there be more than 11 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

    21%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$529 vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 12

    Will there be more than 12 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8

    Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,159 vol

    last

    Bid 99¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$146
Volume
~$7,183
Liquidity
—
Open int.
5,836 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 1, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If more than 13 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

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