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Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

Open

in Florida (excluding the Florida Keys) · Oct 6, 2026 through Dec 31, 2026

Selected outcome

Category 4 or higher landfall

2%

Category 4 or higher landfall · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
National Hurricane Center of the National Weather Service of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)

Price

Category 4 or higher landfall

Loading price history.

Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$516
Liquidity
—
Open int.
18k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If a Category 4 or higher hurricane makes landfall in Florida (excluding the Florida Keys) between October 6, 2026 at 11:15:00 AM EDT and December 31, 2026 at 11:59:00 PM EST, inclusive, as reported by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

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