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Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

Open

in the Northeast United States · Oct 6, 2026 through Dec 31, 2026

Selected outcome

Category 3 or higher landfall

last

1%

Category 3 or higher landfall · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
National Hurricane Center of the National Weather Service of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)

Price

Category 3 or higher landfall

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$654
Liquidity
—
Open int.
25k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If a Category 3 or higher hurricane makes landfall in the Northeast United States between October 6, 2026 at 11:30:00 AM EDT and December 31, 2026 at 11:59:00 PM EST, inclusive, as reported by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

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