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Illinois pension debt in 2026?

Open

Fiscal Year 2026

Selected outcome

Above $170 billion

4%

Above $170 billion · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 1, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Illinois CGFA (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above $170 billion

    Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $170 billion?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$278 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above $140 billion

    Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol

    Bid 91¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above $145 billion

    Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?

    79%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol

    Bid 74¢ · Ask 83¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above $150 billion

    Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above $155 billion

    Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $155 billion?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$105 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above $160 billion

    Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $160 billion?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$95 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above $165 billion

    Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $165 billion?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$78 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$747
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,172 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 1, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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