Selected outcome
Above $145 billion
79%
Above $145 billion · 79%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Illinois CGFA (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above $170 billion
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $170 billion?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$278 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢
- Above $140 billion
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above $145 billion
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
Bid 74¢ · Ask 83¢
- Above $150 billion
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 14¢
- Above $155 billion
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $155 billion?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$105 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Above $160 billion
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $160 billion?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$95 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢
- Above $165 billion
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $165 billion?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$78 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $145 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.