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How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?

Open

in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress

Selected outcome

At least 4

5%

At least 4 · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
state governments (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • At least 1

    Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?

    39%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$173 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 43¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 2

    Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 3

    Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$109 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 4

    Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 4 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$306
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,351 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 4 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.

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